Logo

Monty Hall problem

Three doors problem

Imagine you're on a game show and have to choose one of three doors to win a car. Behind one of the doors is a car, behind the other two are goats. You choose a door, and the host opens a door to reveal a goat. He then offers to let you switch doors. Is it a good idea to change your choice ? Short answer: yes.

Here's why: one door has a one-third chance of winning, while the other two doors combined have a two-thirds chance of winning. When one of those two doors is opened, the chance of winning shifts to the remaining door.

In this example, 🟠Player 1 always sticks to his decision, and 🟢Player 2 always changes his decision.
Note: I have added a virtual 🟡Player 3 who makes his decision only when there are two doors left.
All decisions are made by a random number generator.

▼ Try it yourself ▼

At the beginning, 🟠Player 1 and 🟢Player 2 choose the same door
The host opens a door and offers the players the option to change their door selection
🟢Player 2 changes his decision
Virtual 🟡Player 3 is now making his decision
Results
closed closed closed
Games 🟠Player 1 🟢Player 2 🟡Player 3
0 0% (0) 0% (0) 0% (0)

Um die Bedienung der Website zu erleichtern, verwenden wir Cookies. Wenn Sie diese Website benutzen, stimmen Sie den Datenschutzrichtlinien zu.
We use cookies to make the website easier to use. By using this website you agree to the privacy policy.